The Miami Dolphins will play the Denver Broncos at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, September 24 at 1:00 PM ET. Our computer model projects the Dolphins will earn a victory -- keep scrolling for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

The Dolphins compiled 23.4 points per game on offense last season (11th in NFL), and they ranked 24th defensively with 23.5 points allowed per game. The Broncos compiled 325.1 yards per game on offense last season (21st in NFL), and they ranked seventh on the other side of the ball with 320 yards allowed per game.

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Dolphins vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Dolphins (-6) Over (47.5) Dolphins 30, Broncos 23

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Dolphins Betting Info

  • The Dolphins have a 73.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • Miami went 9-8-0 ATS last season.
  • The Dolphins were favored by 6 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total eight times in Miami games.
  • The over/under in this game is 47.5 points, 0.6 higher than the average total in Dolphins games last season.

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Broncos Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Broncos, based on the moneyline, is 31.2%.
  • Denver covered six times in 17 games with a spread last season.
  • The Broncos were 3-0 ATS last season when playing as at least 6-point underdogs.
  • Denver and its opponent combined to go over the point total six out of 17 times last season.
  • The over/under for this game is 6.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Broncos games last season (41.4).

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Dolphins vs. Broncos 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Miami 23.4 23.5 21.6 15.5 24.9 30.6
Denver 16.9 21.1 18 18.3 15.9 23.7

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